Construction output declines for a third consecutive quarter

Latest News Fri, Feb 9, 2018 11:55 AM

British industrial output sank in December at the fastest pace since 2012 due to the shutdown of a major oil pipeline, but growth in manufacturing confirmed the broader picture of solid economic expansion at the end of 2017.

Construction output also showed a surprise surge in December, according to official data published on Friday.

Britain’s economic growth slowed slightly in 2017 as higher inflation caused by the fall in sterling after the Brexit vote hurt consumers, although some exporters have gained from the weaker pound and the stronger euro zone economy.

Industrial output fell by 1.3 percent month-on-month in December, the biggest drop since September 2012 and compared with a 0.3 percent rise in November, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said.

Rebecca Larkin, Senior Economist at the Construction Products Association, commented: “Overall growth in construction activity slowed significantly over the course of 2017, with output falling since Q2 and rising only 0.9% in annual terms in Q4.

"The quarter saw continued growth in private housing driven by five years of the Help to Buy equity loan, and early work on major projects such as the Thames Tideway Tunnel driving a 0.7% rise in infrastructure. However, even with the government’s £7.4 billion equity loan outlay so far and a further £10 billion set aside, house building activity could not offset the broad downturn in R&M, commercial and industrial.

“Underscoring the supportive effects of the government’s Help to Buy policy, private housing output is now 28.8% higher than its pre-recession peak. By contrast, commercial output is 26.4% below its historic high, whilst industrial output is 28.5% lower.”

Mark Robinson, Scape Group Chief Executive, said the data is more positive than some predicted.

“Whilst it is true that short term indicators such as Brexit and the downfall of Carillion may put further stress on output in the coming months, the strong underlying demand for new work remains, providing some confidence that the situation will improve throughout the year," he added.

"Certainly the public sector, especially Local Enterprise Partnerships (LEPs), are continuing to invest in local and national infrastructure. On the ground our frameworks are attracting more businesses than ever before and much of that is regional investment in new roads and housing.

“With construction firms feeling somewhat strained, there are steps we can take as an industry to ease the process of growth. Firms must prioritise recruitment, upskilling and training to build long-term capacity, and we must look to more innovative new building techniques, such as modular, in order to improve efficiency and boost bottom lines. The Government must also do its part to encourage more collaborative ways of working, and increasing funding and powers for local authorities.”

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